Aston Villa vs Sunderland: Team Comparison
Aston VillavsSunderland 
Comparing Aston Villa and Sunderland across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Aston Villa — a 57% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Aston Villa project for more goals (1.55 xG), Aston Villa have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Aston Villa | Metric | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| 60 | Strength rating | 31 |
| 57% | Win probability | 20% |
| L D L W W | Recent form | L L W D D |
| 7 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.55 | Expected goals | 0.64 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Aston Villa or Sunderland?
The model favours Aston Villa at 57%, with the draw at 23%.