Manchester City vs Fulham: Team Comparison

Manchester City Manchester CityvsFulham Fulham

Comparing Manchester City and Fulham across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Manchester City — a 67% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 17%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.

The detail backs this up: Fulham carry the stronger recent form, Manchester City project for more goals (2.31 xG), Manchester City have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.

Manchester CityMetricFulham
75Strength rating34
67%Win probability16%
L W L W LRecent formD D L W W
15Head-to-head wins0
2.31Expected goals0.66
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Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.

Who is more likely to win, Manchester City or Fulham?

The model favours Manchester City at 67%, with the draw at 17%.