Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol: Team Comparison

Athletic Bilbao Athletic BilbaovsEspanyol Espanyol

Comparing Athletic Bilbao and Espanyol across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Athletic Bilbao — a 64% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 22%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.

The detail backs this up: Athletic Bilbao carry the stronger recent form, Athletic Bilbao project for more goals (2.22 xG), Athletic Bilbao have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.

Athletic BilbaoMetricEspanyol
68Strength rating33
64%Win probability13%
D W L L WRecent formD L W L L
5Head-to-head wins5
2.22Expected goals0.65
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Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.

Who is more likely to win, Athletic Bilbao or Espanyol?

The model favours Athletic Bilbao at 64%, with the draw at 22%.