Hull City vs Manchester United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hull Cityvs
Manchester UnitedThe model puts Manchester United at 63%. The model leans toward Manchester United. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Hull City (9-2-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Hull City have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Manchester United have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hull City have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Manchester United is priced at 1.44.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hull City at 17%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Manchester United at 63%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Manchester United. Hull City is priced at 7.3. The draw is priced at 4.5. Manchester United is priced at 1.44.
Hull City have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings. Manchester United have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Hull City have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Manchester United have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hull City or Manchester United?
Our model rates Manchester United as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hull City vs Manchester United?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 12 meetings: 9 Hull City wins, 2 draws, 1 Manchester United wins.
League table
England. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Everton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Manchester City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Manchester United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Newcastle United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Sunderland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Coventry City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Hull City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Ipswich Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Brighton & Hove Albion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Leeds United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 20 |  Brentford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.