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UEFA Conference League

Alashkert vs Elimai: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Alashkert AlashkertvsElimai Elimai
Our predictionAlashkert to win
Model score: Medium · 44/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Alashkert at 46%. The model leans toward Alashkert. Confidence: medium.

Our prediction missed (predicted: Alashkert · actual: Draw)

Win probabilities

1 · AlashkertDraw2 · Elimai
Full team comparison

Expected goals

1.23Alashkert
xG
0.71Elimai
Over 2.5 goals31%
Both teams to score36%
Team strength rating
Alashkert
58
Elimai
51

Most likely scorelines

1-017.6%
0-014.3%
1-112.6%
2-010.8%
0-110.2%
2-17.7%

Recent form

Alashkert
ElimaiWWLL

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Alashkert Elimai

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Alashkert win2.04Fair
Double chanceAlashkert or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
014104
1181341
21183
3431
41
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Alashkert2.04+0.5%
1X2Elimai3.79-0.2%
1X2Draw3.13-0.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Alashkert at 46%. The model puts the draw at 30%. The model puts Elimai at 24%.

Elimai are on 2 wins in a row. Elimai have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.

The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0. The model gives 31% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Alashkert or Elimai?

Our model rates Alashkert as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Alashkert vs Elimai?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.