Europa FC vs Skendija: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Europa FCvs
SkendijaThe model puts Skendija at 64%. The model leans toward Skendija. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Europa FC.
- −The head-to-head record favours Europa FC (2-0-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Europa FC have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Skendija have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Europa FC have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Skendija is priced at 1.37.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Europa FC at 17%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Skendija at 64%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Skendija. Europa FC is priced at 7.6. The draw is priced at 4.7. Skendija is priced at 1.37.
Europa FC have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Skendija have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Europa FC have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Skendija have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Europa FC or Skendija?
Our model rates Skendija as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Europa FC vs Skendija?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 2 Europa FC wins, 0 draws, 1 Skendija wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.