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UEFA Conference League

Dinamo City vs Astana: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Dinamo City Dinamo CityvsAstana Astana
Our predictionAstana to win
Model score: Low · 5/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Astana at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Dinamo CityDraw2 · Astana
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.90+13.6%
1X2Dinamo City2.77+0.6%
1X2Draw3.34-0.2%
1X2Astana2.39-0.3%
BTTSYes1.81-13.6%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

0.95Dinamo City
xG
0.94Astana
Over 2.5 goals30%
Both teams to score38%

Most likely scorelines

0-015.0%
1-014.3%
0-114.1%
1-113.5%
2-06.8%
0-26.7%
Team strength rating
Dinamo City
51
Astana
59

Recent form

Dinamo City
AstanaWDLWD

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Dinamo City Astana

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Astana win2.39Fair
Double chanceAstana or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0151472
1141362
2763
322
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Dinamo City at 34%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Astana at 38%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market frames this as a close contest. Dinamo City is priced at 2.77. The draw is priced at 3.34. Astana is priced at 2.39.

Astana have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 30% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Dinamo City or Astana?

Our model rates Astana as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Dinamo City vs Astana?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.