NSI Runavik vs Hamrun Spartans: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
NSI Runavikvs
Hamrun SpartansThe model puts Hamrun Spartans at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- NSI Runavik have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hamrun Spartans is priced at 2.44.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts NSI Runavik at 37%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Hamrun Spartans at 38%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. NSI Runavik is priced at 2.56. The draw is priced at 3.58. Hamrun Spartans is priced at 2.44.
NSI Runavik have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 43% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, NSI Runavik or Hamrun Spartans?
Our model rates Hamrun Spartans as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for NSI Runavik vs Hamrun Spartans?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.