NSI Runavik vs Hamrun Spartans: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
NSI Runavikvs
Hamrun SpartansThe model puts NSI Runavik at 44%. The model leans toward NSI Runavik. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- NSI Runavik have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- NSI Runavik is priced at 2.13.
- The market leans toward NSI Runavik.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts NSI Runavik at 44%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Hamrun Spartans at 29%.
NSI Runavik have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
NSI Runavik is priced at 2.13. Hamrun Spartans is priced at 3.17. The draw is priced at 3.46.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 44% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, NSI Runavik or Hamrun Spartans?
Our model rates NSI Runavik as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for NSI Runavik vs Hamrun Spartans?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.