Argentina vs Switzerland: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Argentinavs
SwitzerlandThe model puts Argentina at 55%. The model leans toward Argentina. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Argentina (2-1-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Argentina have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Switzerland have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Argentina have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Argentina is priced at 1.795.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Argentina at 55%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Switzerland at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market leans toward Argentina. Argentina is priced at 1.795. The draw is priced at 3.63. Switzerland is priced at 5.46.
Argentina have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Argentina have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Argentina are on 5 wins in a row. Switzerland have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Switzerland are on 4 wins in a row.
Argentina average 3 goals per game this season. Argentina average 57% possession. Switzerland average 1 goals per game this season. Switzerland average 68% possession.
The model gives 62% for both teams to score. The model gives 71% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Argentina or Switzerland?
Our model rates Argentina as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Argentina vs Switzerland?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 2 Argentina wins, 1 draws, 0 Switzerland wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.