Stjarnan vs Vikingur Gota: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Stjarnanvs
Vikingur GotaThe model puts Stjarnan at 64%. The model leans toward Stjarnan. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Vikingur Gota.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Stjarnan have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Vikingur Gota have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Stjarnan is priced at 1.4.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 6 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Stjarnan at 64%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Vikingur Gota at 17%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Stjarnan. Stjarnan is priced at 1.4. The draw is priced at 4.75. Vikingur Gota is priced at 6.73.
Stjarnan have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Vikingur Gota have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 55% for both teams to score. The model gives 71% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Stjarnan or Vikingur Gota?
Our model rates Stjarnan as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Stjarnan vs Vikingur Gota?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.