← All predictions
UEFA Conference League

Stjarnan vs Vikingur Gota: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Stjarnan StjarnanvsVikingur Gota Vikingur Gota
Our predictionStjarnan to win
Model score: Medium · 42/100
Score hint: 2-1

The model puts Stjarnan at 55%. The model leans toward Stjarnan. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Our prediction was correct (predicted: Stjarnan · actual: Stjarnan)

Win probabilities

1 · StjarnanDraw2 · Vikingur Gota
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Vikingur Gota4.07+2.6%
1X2Draw4.45-0.9%
1X2Stjarnan1.66-1.6%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

2.42Stjarnan
xG
1.20Vikingur Gota
Over 2.5 goals70%
Both teams to score64%
Team strength rating
Stjarnan
63
Vikingur Gota
55

Most likely scorelines

2-19.4%
2-07.8%
1-17.8%
3-17.6%
1-06.5%
3-06.3%

Recent form

StjarnanDWLDL
Vikingur GotaWDWDW

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Stjarnan Vikingur Gota

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Stjarnan win1.66Fair (-1.6%)
Double chanceStjarnan or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0332
16852
28962
36852
44531
5221

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Stjarnan at 55%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Vikingur Gota at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.

The market leans toward Stjarnan. Stjarnan is priced at 1.66. The draw is priced at 4.45. Vikingur Gota is priced at 4.07.

Stjarnan have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Vikingur Gota have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 64% for both teams to score. The model gives 70% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Stjarnan or Vikingur Gota?

Our model rates Stjarnan as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Stjarnan vs Vikingur Gota?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.