Alashkert vs CFR Cluj: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Alashkertvs
CFR ClujThe model puts CFR Cluj at 47%. The model leans toward CFR Cluj. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours CFR Cluj.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Alashkert have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- CFR Cluj have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Alashkert have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- CFR Cluj is priced at 2.07.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Alashkert at 25%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts CFR Cluj at 47%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward CFR Cluj. Alashkert is priced at 3.7. The draw is priced at 3.32. CFR Cluj is priced at 2.07.
Alashkert have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Alashkert have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. CFR Cluj have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Alashkert or CFR Cluj?
Our model rates CFR Cluj as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Alashkert vs CFR Cluj?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 2 Alashkert wins, 0 draws, 0 CFR Cluj wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.