Goteborg vs Levadia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Goteborgvs
LevadiaThe model puts Goteborg at 66%. The model leans toward Goteborg. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Levadia.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Goteborg have 1 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Levadia have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Goteborg is priced at 1.38.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 3 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Goteborg at 66%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Levadia at 17%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Goteborg. Goteborg is priced at 1.38. The draw is priced at 5.15. Levadia is priced at 6.47.
Goteborg have 1 wins in their last 4 matches. Levadia have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 59% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Goteborg or Levadia?
Our model rates Goteborg as the most likely outcome at 66% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Goteborg vs Levadia?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.