Floriana vs KF Drita: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Florianavs
KF DritaThe model puts KF Drita at 46%. The model leans toward KF Drita. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- KF Drita have 0 wins in their last 3 matches.
- KF Drita is priced at 2.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14 | 16 | 9 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Floriana at 28%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts KF Drita at 46%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward KF Drita. Floriana is priced at 3.345. The draw is priced at 3.64. KF Drita is priced at 2.
KF Drita have 0 wins in their last 3 matches.
The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 31% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Floriana or KF Drita?
Our model rates KF Drita as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Floriana vs KF Drita?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.