← All predictions
UEFA Conference League

Zimbru Chisinau vs Noah Yerevan: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Zimbru Chisinau Zimbru ChisinauvsNoah Yerevan Noah Yerevan
Our predictionNoah Yerevan to win
Model score: Low · 32/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Noah Yerevan at 53%. The model leans toward Noah Yerevan. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Zimbru ChisinauDraw2 · Noah Yerevan
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.05+17.0%
1X2Zimbru Chisinau4.38+0.7%
1X2Draw3.70-0.2%
1X2Noah Yerevan1.74-0.5%
BTTSYes1.69-17.0%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

0.74Zimbru Chisinau
xG
1.28Noah Yerevan
Over 2.5 goals33%
Both teams to score38%
Team strength rating
Zimbru Chisinau
42
Noah Yerevan
62

Most likely scorelines

0-117.0%
0-013.3%
1-112.6%
0-210.8%
1-09.9%
1-28.0%

Recent form

Zimbru ChisinauDLWD
Noah Yerevan

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Zimbru Chisinau Noah Yerevan

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Noah Yerevan win1.74Fair
Double chanceNoah Yerevan or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
013171151
11013831
24531
31
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Zimbru Chisinau at 22%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Noah Yerevan at 53%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Noah Yerevan. Zimbru Chisinau is priced at 4.38. The draw is priced at 3.7. Noah Yerevan is priced at 1.74.

Zimbru Chisinau have 1 wins in their last 4 matches.

The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 33% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Zimbru Chisinau or Noah Yerevan?

Our model rates Noah Yerevan as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Zimbru Chisinau vs Noah Yerevan?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.