Zimbru Chisinau vs Noah Yerevan: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Noah Yerevan at 53%. The model leans toward Noah Yerevan. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Zimbru Chisinau have 1 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Noah Yerevan is priced at 1.74.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | |
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 1 | |||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Zimbru Chisinau at 22%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Noah Yerevan at 53%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Noah Yerevan. Zimbru Chisinau is priced at 4.38. The draw is priced at 3.7. Noah Yerevan is priced at 1.74.
Zimbru Chisinau have 1 wins in their last 4 matches.
The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 33% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Zimbru Chisinau or Noah Yerevan?
Our model rates Noah Yerevan as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Zimbru Chisinau vs Noah Yerevan?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.