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UEFA Conference League

Paide Linnameeskond vs Zira: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Paide Linnameeskond Paide LinnameeskondvsZira Zira
Our predictionZira to win
Model score: Medium · 52/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Zira at 65%. The model leans toward Zira. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Paide LinnameeskondDraw2 · Zira
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.72+12.1%
1X2Paide Linnameeskond6.58+0.8%
1X2Draw4.70-0.2%
1X2Zira1.41-0.6%
BTTSYes2.01-12.1%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

0.56Paide Linnameeskond
xG
1.56Zira
Over 2.5 goals36%
Both teams to score34%
Team strength rating
Paide Linnameeskond
38
Zira
69

Most likely scorelines

0-118.7%
0-214.5%
0-012.0%
1-110.5%
1-28.2%
0-37.5%

Recent form

Paide LinnameeskondLWDWD
Zira

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Paide Linnameeskond Zira

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Zira win1.41Fair (-0.6%)
Double chanceZira or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
012191583
1711842
22321
3
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Paide Linnameeskond at 15%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Zira at 65%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Zira. Paide Linnameeskond is priced at 6.58. The draw is priced at 4.7. Zira is priced at 1.41.

Paide Linnameeskond have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 34% for both teams to score. The model gives 36% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Paide Linnameeskond or Zira?

Our model rates Zira as the most likely outcome at 65% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Paide Linnameeskond vs Zira?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.