Paide Linnameeskond vs Zira: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Zira at 65%. The model leans toward Zira. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Paide Linnameeskond have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Zira is priced at 1.41.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12 | 19 | 15 | 8 | 3 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Paide Linnameeskond at 15%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Zira at 65%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Zira. Paide Linnameeskond is priced at 6.58. The draw is priced at 4.7. Zira is priced at 1.41.
Paide Linnameeskond have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 34% for both teams to score. The model gives 36% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Paide Linnameeskond or Zira?
Our model rates Zira as the most likely outcome at 65% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Paide Linnameeskond vs Zira?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.