ML Vitebsk vs Sutjeska Niksic: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
ML Vitebskvs
Sutjeska NiksicThe model puts ML Vitebsk at 55%. The model leans toward ML Vitebsk. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- ML Vitebsk have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- ML Vitebsk is priced at 1.7.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts ML Vitebsk at 55%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Sutjeska Niksic at 19%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward ML Vitebsk. ML Vitebsk is priced at 1.7. The draw is priced at 3.58. Sutjeska Niksic is priced at 4.87.
ML Vitebsk have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 43% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, ML Vitebsk or Sutjeska Niksic?
Our model rates ML Vitebsk as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for ML Vitebsk vs Sutjeska Niksic?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.