Dinamo Tbilisi vs VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Dinamo Tbilisivs
VMFD Zalgiris VilniusThe model puts Dinamo Tbilisi at 49%. The model leans toward Dinamo Tbilisi. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Dinamo Tbilisi have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dinamo Tbilisi is priced at 1.91.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Dinamo Tbilisi at 49%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Dinamo Tbilisi. Dinamo Tbilisi is priced at 1.91. The draw is priced at 3.24. VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius is priced at 4.15.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Dinamo Tbilisi have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Dinamo Tbilisi or VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius?
Our model rates Dinamo Tbilisi as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Dinamo Tbilisi vs VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Dinamo Tbilisi wins, 1 draws, 0 VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.