Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Flora Tallinnvs
The New SaintsThe model puts Flora Tallinn at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Flora Tallinn have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Flora Tallinn is priced at 2.13.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Flora Tallinn at 44%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts The New Saints at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Flora Tallinn. Flora Tallinn is priced at 2.13. The draw is priced at 3.6. The New Saints is priced at 3.07.
Flora Tallinn have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 41% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Flora Tallinn or The New Saints?
Our model rates Flora Tallinn as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.