Motherwell vs Havnar Boltfelag: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Motherwellvs
Havnar BoltfelagThe model puts Motherwell at 82%. The model leans toward Motherwell. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Havnar Boltfelag have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Motherwell is priced at 1.132.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 20 | 5 | ||||
| 2 | 21 | 5 | ||||
| 3 | 15 | 4 | ||||
| 4 | 8 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 3 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Motherwell at 82%. The model puts the draw at 12%. The model puts Havnar Boltfelag at 6%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Motherwell. Motherwell is priced at 1.132. The draw is priced at 7.6. Havnar Boltfelag is priced at 15.5.
Havnar Boltfelag have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Havnar Boltfelag are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 20% for both teams to score. The model gives 43% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Motherwell or Havnar Boltfelag?
Our model rates Motherwell as the most likely outcome at 82% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Motherwell vs Havnar Boltfelag?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.