Shelbourne vs Nomme Kalju: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Shelbournevs
Nomme KaljuThe model puts Shelbourne at 62%. The model leans toward Shelbourne. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Nomme Kalju.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Shelbourne have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nomme Kalju have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Shelbourne is priced at 1.46.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Shelbourne at 62%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Nomme Kalju at 17%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Shelbourne. Shelbourne is priced at 1.46. The draw is priced at 4.15. Nomme Kalju is priced at 6.75.
Shelbourne have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Nomme Kalju have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Shelbourne or Nomme Kalju?
Our model rates Shelbourne as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Shelbourne vs Nomme Kalju?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.