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Poland. Ekstraklasa

Rakow Czestochowa vs Wisla PLock: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Rakow Czestochowa Rakow CzestochowavsWisla PLock Wisla PLock
Our predictionRakow Czestochowa to win
Model score: Medium · 57/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Rakow Czestochowa at 58%. The model leans toward Rakow Czestochowa. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Rakow CzestochowaDraw2 · Wisla PLock
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.79+3.3%
1X2Wisla PLock5.43+1.7%
1X2Draw3.90-0.7%
1X2Rakow Czestochowa1.58-0.9%
BTTSYes1.92-3.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Rakow CzestochowaLLDLL
Wisla PLockDLLLL
Team strength rating
Rakow Czestochowa
52
Wisla PLock
38

Most likely scorelines

1-013.4%
2-012.7%
1-110.1%
2-19.6%
3-08.1%
0-07.1%

Expected goals

1.90Rakow Czestochowa
xG
0.75Wisla PLock
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score45%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Rakow Czestochowa Wisla PLock

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Rakow Czestochowa win1.58Fair (-0.9%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0752
113104
213104
3862
4431
511

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Rakow Czestochowa at 58%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Wisla PLock at 19%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Rakow Czestochowa. Rakow Czestochowa is priced at 1.58. The draw is priced at 3.9. Wisla PLock is priced at 5.43.

Rakow Czestochowa have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Wisla PLock have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.

Rakow Czestochowa have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Wisla PLock have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Rakow Czestochowa or Wisla PLock?

Our model rates Rakow Czestochowa as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Rakow Czestochowa vs Wisla PLock?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 2 Rakow Czestochowa wins, 0 draws, 4 Wisla PLock wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Poland. Ekstraklasa
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Jagiellonia Bialystok00000:00
2Gornik Zabrze00000:00
3Korona Kielce00000:00
4Piast Gliwice00000:00
5Katowice00000:00
6Motor Lublin00000:00
7Slask Wroclaw00000:00
8Wisla PLock00000:00
9Pogon Szczecin00000:00
10Wisla Krakow00000:00
11Legia Warsaw00000:00
12Lech Poznan00000:00
13Zaglebie Lubin00000:00
14KS Cracovia00000:00
15Widzew Lodz00000:00
16RKS Radomiak Radom00000:00
17Rakow Czestochowa00000:00
18KS Wieczysta Krakow00000:00
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Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.