Valur vs Zrinjski: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Valurvs
ZrinjskiThe model puts Valur at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Valur have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Valur is priced at 2.22.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15 | 12 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Valur at 42%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Zrinjski at 31%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Valur is priced at 2.22. The draw is priced at 3.5. Zrinjski is priced at 2.965.
Valur have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 37% for both teams to score. The model gives 30% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Valur or Zrinjski?
Our model rates Valur as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Valur vs Zrinjski?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.