Widzew Lodz vs Motor Lublin: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Widzew Lodzvs
Motor LublinThe model puts Widzew Lodz at 56%. The model leans toward Widzew Lodz. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Widzew Lodz have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Motor Lublin have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Widzew Lodz have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Widzew Lodz is priced at 1.65.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Widzew Lodz at 56%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Motor Lublin at 19%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Widzew Lodz. Widzew Lodz is priced at 1.65. The draw is priced at 3.85. Motor Lublin is priced at 4.81.
Widzew Lodz have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Motor Lublin have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Widzew Lodz have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Widzew Lodz are on 3 wins in a row. Motor Lublin have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Motor Lublin are on 4 wins in a row.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Widzew Lodz or Motor Lublin?
Our model rates Widzew Lodz as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Widzew Lodz vs Motor Lublin?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Widzew Lodz wins, 1 draws, 3 Motor Lublin wins.
League table
Poland. Ekstraklasa| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Jagiellonia Bialystok | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Gornik Zabrze | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Korona Kielce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Piast Gliwice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Katowice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Motor Lublin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Slask Wroclaw | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Wisla PLock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Pogon Szczecin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Wisla Krakow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Legia Warsaw | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Lech Poznan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Zaglebie Lubin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  KS Cracovia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Widzew Lodz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  RKS Radomiak Radom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Rakow Czestochowa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  KS Wieczysta Krakow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.