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UEFA Conference League

BATE Borisov vs Sion: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

BATE Borisov BATE BorisovvsSion Sion
Our predictionSion to win
Model score: High · 68/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Sion at 77%. The model leans toward Sion. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · BATE BorisovDraw2 · Sion
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.50+16.9%
1X2BATE Borisov14.70+0.8%
1X2Draw5.70-0.1%
1X2Sion1.21-0.7%
BTTSYes2.43-16.9%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

0.31BATE Borisov
xG
1.57Sion
Over 2.5 goals29%
Both teams to score21%
Team strength rating
BATE Borisov
36
Sion
76

Recent form

BATE BorisovWDLLL
Sion

Most likely scorelines

0-123.9%
0-218.7%
0-015.3%
0-39.8%
1-17.5%
1-25.8%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
BATE Borisov Sion

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Sion win1.21Fair (-0.7%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
01524191041
157631
21
3
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts BATE Borisov at 7%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts Sion at 77%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Sion. BATE Borisov is priced at 14.7. The draw is priced at 5.7. Sion is priced at 1.205.

BATE Borisov have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 21% for both teams to score. The model gives 29% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, BATE Borisov or Sion?

Our model rates Sion as the most likely outcome at 77% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for BATE Borisov vs Sion?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.