CSKA Sofia 1948 vs Spartak Trnava: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
CSKA Sofia 1948vs
Spartak TrnavaThe model puts CSKA Sofia 1948 at 48%. The model leans toward CSKA Sofia 1948. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- CSKA Sofia 1948 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Spartak Trnava have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- CSKA Sofia 1948 have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- CSKA Sofia 1948 is priced at 1.975.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts CSKA Sofia 1948 at 48%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Spartak Trnava at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward CSKA Sofia 1948. CSKA Sofia 1948 is priced at 1.975. The draw is priced at 3.62. Spartak Trnava is priced at 3.68.
CSKA Sofia 1948 have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
CSKA Sofia 1948 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Spartak Trnava have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, CSKA Sofia 1948 or Spartak Trnava?
Our model rates CSKA Sofia 1948 as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for CSKA Sofia 1948 vs Spartak Trnava?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 CSKA Sofia 1948 wins, 1 draws, 0 Spartak Trnava wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.