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UEFA Conference League

Apollon Limassol vs Dila Gori: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Apollon Limassol Apollon LimassolvsDila Gori Dila Gori
Our predictionApollon Limassol to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Apollon Limassol at 71%. The model leans toward Apollon Limassol. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · Apollon LimassolDraw2 · Dila Gori
Full team comparison
Team strength rating
Apollon Limassol
73
Dila Gori
36

Recent form

Apollon LimassolWLLLW
Dila GoriLDWWW

Most likely scorelines

2-016.1%
1-014.9%
3-011.6%
2-18.2%
1-17.6%
0-06.9%

Expected goals

2.17Apollon Limassol
xG
0.51Dila Gori
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score35%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Apollon Limassol Dila Gori

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Apollon Limassol win1.35Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
074
11582
21682
31262
463
531

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Apollon Limassol1.35+0.3%
1X2Dila Gori7.90-0.1%
1X2Draw5.35-0.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Apollon Limassol at 71%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Dila Gori at 12%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Apollon Limassol. Apollon Limassol is priced at 1.35. The draw is priced at 5.35. Dila Gori is priced at 7.9.

Dila Gori have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

Apollon Limassol have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Dila Gori have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 35% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Apollon Limassol or Dila Gori?

Our model rates Apollon Limassol as the most likely outcome at 71% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Apollon Limassol vs Dila Gori?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 Apollon Limassol wins, 0 draws, 1 Dila Gori wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.