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UEFA Conference League

Rapid Wien vs Santa Coloma: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Rapid Wien Rapid WienvsSanta Coloma Santa Coloma
Our predictionRapid Wien to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Rapid Wien at 82%. The model leans toward Rapid Wien. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Rapid WienDraw2 · Santa Coloma
Full team comparison
Team strength rating
Rapid Wien
85
Santa Coloma
24

Recent form

Rapid WienWLWWL
Santa ColomaLLLWD

Most likely scorelines

2-019.4%
1-016.2%
3-015.5%
4-09.3%
0-06.7%
2-15.8%

Expected goals

2.40Rapid Wien
xG
0.30Santa Coloma
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score23%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Rapid Wien Santa Coloma

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Rapid Wien win1.17Fair (+0.9%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
072
1165
2196
3165
493
541

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Rapid Wien1.17+0.9%
1X2Santa Coloma14.50-0.3%
1X2Draw7.70-0.6%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Rapid Wien at 82%. The model puts the draw at 12%. The model puts Santa Coloma at 6%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Rapid Wien. Rapid Wien is priced at 1.168. The draw is priced at 7.7. Santa Coloma is priced at 14.5.

Santa Coloma have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

Rapid Wien have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Santa Coloma have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 23% for both teams to score. The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Rapid Wien or Santa Coloma?

Our model rates Rapid Wien as the most likely outcome at 82% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Rapid Wien vs Santa Coloma?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 Rapid Wien wins, 0 draws, 1 Santa Coloma wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.