Atletic d'Escaldes vs Vaduz: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Atletic d'Escaldesvs
VaduzThe model puts Vaduz at 58%. The model leans toward Vaduz. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Vaduz.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Atletic d'Escaldes have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Vaduz have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Atletic d'Escaldes have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Vaduz is priced at 1.675.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 3 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Atletic d'Escaldes at 21%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Vaduz at 58%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Vaduz. Atletic d'Escaldes is priced at 4.48. The draw is priced at 4.28. Vaduz is priced at 1.675.
Atletic d'Escaldes have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Atletic d'Escaldes have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Vaduz have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Vaduz are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Atletic d'Escaldes or Vaduz?
Our model rates Vaduz as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Atletic d'Escaldes vs Vaduz?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Atletic d'Escaldes wins, 0 draws, 0 Vaduz wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.