Tobol Kostanay vs Panevezys: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Tobol Kostanayvs
PanevezysThe model puts Tobol Kostanay at 67%. The model leans toward Tobol Kostanay. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Tobol Kostanay have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Panevezys have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tobol Kostanay is priced at 1.42.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Tobol Kostanay at 67%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Panevezys at 12%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Tobol Kostanay. Tobol Kostanay is priced at 1.42. The draw is priced at 4.56. Panevezys is priced at 7.6.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Tobol Kostanay have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Panevezys have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Tobol Kostanay or Panevezys?
Our model rates Tobol Kostanay as the most likely outcome at 67% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Tobol Kostanay vs Panevezys?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Tobol Kostanay wins, 1 draws, 0 Panevezys wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.