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UEFA Conference League

Noah Yerevan vs Zimbru Chisinau: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Noah Yerevan Noah YerevanvsZimbru Chisinau Zimbru Chisinau
Our predictionNoah Yerevan to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Noah Yerevan at 73%. The model leans toward Noah Yerevan. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · Noah YerevanDraw2 · Zimbru Chisinau
Full team comparison
Team strength rating
Noah Yerevan
70
Zimbru Chisinau
31

Recent form

Noah YerevanDDLLD
Zimbru ChisinauDLLDD

Most likely scorelines

2-016.8%
1-015.2%
3-012.3%
2-17.9%
1-17.1%
0-06.9%

Expected goals

2.21Noah Yerevan
xG
0.47Zimbru Chisinau
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score33%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Noah Yerevan Zimbru Chisinau

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Noah Yerevan win1.31Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
073
11572
21782
31261
473
531

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Noah Yerevan1.31+0.2%
1X2Zimbru Chisinau8.90-0.1%
1X2Draw5.55-0.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Noah Yerevan at 73%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Zimbru Chisinau at 11%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Noah Yerevan. Noah Yerevan is priced at 1.31. The draw is priced at 5.55. Zimbru Chisinau is priced at 8.9.

The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

Noah Yerevan have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Zimbru Chisinau have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 33% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Noah Yerevan or Zimbru Chisinau?

Our model rates Noah Yerevan as the most likely outcome at 73% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Noah Yerevan vs Zimbru Chisinau?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 Noah Yerevan wins, 1 draws, 0 Zimbru Chisinau wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.