Levadia vs Goteborg: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Levadiavs
GoteborgThe model puts Goteborg at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Levadia.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Levadia have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Goteborg have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Goteborg is priced at 2.125.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Levadia at 34%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Goteborg at 43%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Goteborg. Levadia is priced at 3.06. The draw is priced at 3.92. Goteborg is priced at 2.125.
Goteborg have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Levadia have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Goteborg have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Levadia or Goteborg?
Our model rates Goteborg as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Levadia vs Goteborg?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Levadia wins, 0 draws, 1 Goteborg wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.