Havnar Boltfelag vs Motherwell: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Havnar Boltfelagvs
MotherwellThe model puts Motherwell at 63%. The model leans toward Motherwell. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Havnar Boltfelag.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Havnar Boltfelag have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Motherwell have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Havnar Boltfelag have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Motherwell is priced at 1.536.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Havnar Boltfelag at 17%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Motherwell at 63%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Motherwell. Havnar Boltfelag is priced at 5.75. The draw is priced at 4.38. Motherwell is priced at 1.536.
Havnar Boltfelag have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Havnar Boltfelag have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Motherwell have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Motherwell are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Havnar Boltfelag or Motherwell?
Our model rates Motherwell as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Havnar Boltfelag vs Motherwell?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Havnar Boltfelag wins, 0 draws, 0 Motherwell wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.