KF Drita vs Floriana: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
KF Dritavs
FlorianaThe model puts KF Drita at 61%. The model leans toward KF Drita. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Floriana.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- KF Drita have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Floriana have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- KF Drita is priced at 1.48.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts KF Drita at 61%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Floriana at 17%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward KF Drita. KF Drita is priced at 1.48. The draw is priced at 4.15. Floriana is priced at 6.39.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
KF Drita have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Floriana have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, KF Drita or Floriana?
Our model rates KF Drita as the most likely outcome at 61% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for KF Drita vs Floriana?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 KF Drita wins, 1 draws, 0 Floriana wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.