Velez Mostar vs DAC 1904: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Velez Mostarvs
DAC 1904The model puts DAC 1904 at 53%. The model leans toward DAC 1904. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours DAC 1904.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Velez Mostar have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- DAC 1904 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Velez Mostar have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- DAC 1904 is priced at 1.8.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Velez Mostar at 23%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts DAC 1904 at 53%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward DAC 1904. Velez Mostar is priced at 4.085. The draw is priced at 3.68. DAC 1904 is priced at 1.8.
Velez Mostar have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Velez Mostar have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. DAC 1904 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. DAC 1904 are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Velez Mostar or DAC 1904?
Our model rates DAC 1904 as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Velez Mostar vs DAC 1904?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Velez Mostar wins, 0 draws, 0 DAC 1904 wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.