Nomme Kalju vs Shelbourne: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Nomme Kaljuvs
ShelbourneThe model puts Shelbourne at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Shelbourne.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Nomme Kalju have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Shelbourne have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nomme Kalju have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Shelbourne is priced at 2.2.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Nomme Kalju at 31%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Shelbourne at 44%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Nomme Kalju is priced at 2.889. The draw is priced at 3.66. Shelbourne is priced at 2.2.
Nomme Kalju have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Nomme Kalju have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Shelbourne have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Nomme Kalju or Shelbourne?
Our model rates Shelbourne as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Nomme Kalju vs Shelbourne?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Nomme Kalju wins, 0 draws, 0 Shelbourne wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.