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UEFA Conference League

Ballkani vs Bohemian Dublin: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Ballkani BallkanivsBohemian Dublin Bohemian Dublin
Our predictionBallkani to win
Model score: Low · 15/100
Score hint: 2-1

The model puts Ballkani at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · BallkaniDraw2 · Bohemian Dublin
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Bohemian Dublin3.06+2.6%
BTTSYes1.65+1.1%
BTTSNo2.11-1.1%
1X2Ballkani2.21-1.2%
1X2Draw3.40-1.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Most likely scorelines

1-111.5%
2-19.3%
1-09.2%
2-07.4%
1-27.2%
0-17.1%
Team strength rating
Ballkani
51
Bohemian Dublin
61

Recent form

BallkaniLWD
Bohemian DublinWDWWW

Expected goals

1.62Ballkani
xG
1.25Bohemian Dublin
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score57%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Ballkani Bohemian Dublin

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Ballkani win2.21Fair (-1.2%)
Double chanceBallkani or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
06742
191173
27962
34531
4221
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Ballkani at 41%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Bohemian Dublin at 33%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.

The market frames this as a close contest. Ballkani is priced at 2.21. The draw is priced at 3.4. Bohemian Dublin is priced at 3.055.

Ballkani have 1 wins in their last 3 matches. Bohemian Dublin have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 57% for both teams to score. The model gives 55% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Ballkani or Bohemian Dublin?

Our model rates Ballkani as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Ballkani vs Bohemian Dublin?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Match statistics

Player of the matchTodd S.Bohemian Dublin7.7
65
Possession
35
11
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
2
4
Corners
3
0
Yellow cards
3
3
Shots off target
5
2
Offsides
2
7
Fouls
13
29'Domgjoni
36'🟨Sabanadzovic
Vaughan59'
James-Taylor59'
59'Deliu A.
61'🟨Vokrri
73'🟨Khalili
James-Taylor76'
Rooney D.77'
Byrne77'
84'Jashanica
84'Diene
84'Letaj
87'Klinaku
Tierney Ro.89'
Morahan90+3'

Bohemian Dublin

Starting XI
  • 5Diallo6.1
  • 6Flores Jo.7.0
  • 9Whelan C.5.6
  • 10Devoy D.7.4
  • 12Hickey5.0
  • 16Power D.6.2
  • 17McDonnell A.6.9
  • 22Todd S.7.7
  • 25Walters7.7
  • 26Tierney Ro.6.1
  • 32Strods7.0
Coach: Alastair Reynolds

Ballkani

Starting XI
  • 4Khalili
  • 5Sabanadzovic
  • 6Vokrri
  • 8Domgjoni6.3
  • 9Serebe
  • 10Giovanny
  • 12Dossou
  • 14Ismajlgeci
  • 20Kuc5.9
  • 25Golubovic A.6.7
  • 28Batarelo Iv.
Coach: Mislav Karoglan

Match story

How the game unfolded
0–15'00

Cautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)

15–45'00

No goals but plenty of bite: 1 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 0–0.

29'Domgjoni36'🟨Sabanadzovic
Half-time

Half-time score: Bohemian Dublin 0 – 0 Ballkani.

45–75'00

No goals but plenty of bite: 2 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 0–0.

59'Vaughan59'James-Taylor59'Deliu A.61'🟨Vokrri73'🟨Khalili
75–90'+20

Bohemian Dublin make it count (James-Taylor (76'), Tierney Ro. (89')). It's 2–0 at this point.

76'James-Taylor77'Rooney D.77'Byrne84'Jashanica84'Diene84'Letaj87'Klinaku89'Tierney Ro.90+3'Morahan
Full time: Bohemian Dublin 20 Ballkani

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.