Valletta vs Rakow Czestochowa: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Vallettavs
Rakow CzestochowaThe model puts Rakow Czestochowa at 70%. The model leans toward Rakow Czestochowa. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Rakow Czestochowa.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Valletta have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rakow Czestochowa have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Valletta have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Rakow Czestochowa is priced at 1.34.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 2 |
| 1 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Valletta at 12%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Rakow Czestochowa at 70%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Rakow Czestochowa. Valletta is priced at 8.3. The draw is priced at 4.85. Rakow Czestochowa is priced at 1.34.
Valletta have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Valletta have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Rakow Czestochowa have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Rakow Czestochowa are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 37% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Valletta or Rakow Czestochowa?
Our model rates Rakow Czestochowa as the most likely outcome at 70% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Valletta vs Rakow Czestochowa?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Valletta wins, 0 draws, 0 Rakow Czestochowa wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.