Ludogorets 1945 vs Hapoel Tel Aviv: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ludogorets 1945vs
Hapoel Tel AvivThe model puts Ludogorets 1945 at 55%. The model leans toward Ludogorets 1945. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Ludogorets 1945 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ludogorets 1945 have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Ludogorets 1945 is priced at 1.72.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Ludogorets 1945 at 55%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Hapoel Tel Aviv at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Ludogorets 1945. Ludogorets 1945 is priced at 1.72. The draw is priced at 3.92. Hapoel Tel Aviv is priced at 4.23.
Ludogorets 1945 have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Ludogorets 1945 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Hapoel Tel Aviv have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ludogorets 1945 or Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Our model rates Ludogorets 1945 as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ludogorets 1945 vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Ludogorets 1945 wins, 0 draws, 0 Hapoel Tel Aviv wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.