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UEFA Conference League

Gent vs LNZ: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Gent GentvsLNZ LNZ
Our predictionGent to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Gent at 70%. The model leans toward Gent. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · GentDraw2 · LNZ
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.81+13.9%
1X2Gent1.35+1.4%
1X2LNZ8.00-0.5%
1X2Draw4.80-0.9%
BTTSYes1.89-13.9%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Gent
78
LNZ
33

Recent form

GentDWDWW
LNZDDLLD

Most likely scorelines

2-016.2%
1-014.9%
3-011.8%
2-18.2%
1-17.5%
0-06.9%

Expected goals

2.17Gent
xG
0.50LNZ
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score35%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Gent LNZ

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Gent win1.35Fair (+1.4%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
073
11582
21682
31261
463
531

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Gent at 70%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts LNZ at 11%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Gent. Gent is priced at 1.35. The draw is priced at 4.8. LNZ is priced at 8.

The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

Gent have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. LNZ have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 35% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Gent or LNZ?

Our model rates Gent as the most likely outcome at 70% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Gent vs LNZ?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 Gent wins, 1 draws, 0 LNZ wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.