Austria Wien vs Liepaja: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Austria Wienvs
LiepajaThe model puts Austria Wien at 77%. The model leans toward Austria Wien. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Austria Wien.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Austria Wien have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Liepaja have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Austria Wien is priced at 1.22.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 18 | 7 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 14 | 5 | ||||
| 4 | 8 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 4 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Austria Wien at 77%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts Liepaja at 7%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Austria Wien. Austria Wien is priced at 1.22. The draw is priced at 5.7. Liepaja is priced at 12.8.
Liepaja have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Austria Wien have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Austria Wien are on 2 wins in a row. Liepaja have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 28% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Austria Wien or Liepaja?
Our model rates Austria Wien as the most likely outcome at 77% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Austria Wien vs Liepaja?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Austria Wien wins, 0 draws, 1 Liepaja wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.