Vestri vs Rigas Futbola skola: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Vestrivs
Rigas Futbola skolaThe model puts Rigas Futbola skola at 80%. The model leans toward Rigas Futbola skola. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Rigas Futbola skola.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Vestri have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rigas Futbola skola have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rigas Futbola skola is priced at 1.178.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 4 |
| 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Vestri at 6%. The model puts the draw at 14%. The model puts Rigas Futbola skola at 80%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Rigas Futbola skola. Vestri is priced at 17. The draw is priced at 6.15. Rigas Futbola skola is priced at 1.178.
Vestri have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Rigas Futbola skola have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Rigas Futbola skola are on 5 wins in a row.
The model gives 32% for both teams to score. The model gives 56% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Vestri or Rigas Futbola skola?
Our model rates Rigas Futbola skola as the most likely outcome at 80% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Vestri vs Rigas Futbola skola?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Match statistics
Rigas Futbola skola
- 4Veips
- 6Filipovic A.
- 8Odisharia
- 10Ikauniek
- 15Ndjiki
- 16Nerugals
- 18Zelenkovs
- 26Panic S.
- 43Lipuscek
- 49Kigurs
- 81Rakic S.
Vestri
- 1Steinarsson
- 3Edson
- 7Stensson Ja.
- 12Phete T.
- 17Hauksson
- 18Hagbardsson
- 19Duah
- 22Gardarsson
- 27Morfelt
- 45Einarsson
- 77Fall
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
Rigas Futbola skola make it count (Panic S. (18'), Ikauniek (23'), Ndjiki (43')). It's 3–0 at this point.
Half-time score: Rigas Futbola skola 3 – 0 Vestri.
An end-to-end spell with goals at both ends (Morfelt (63'), Lemajic D. (66')). Score moves to 4–1.
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (4–1)
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.