The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The New Saintsvs
Flora TallinnThe model puts The New Saints at 52%. The model leans toward The New Saints. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours The New Saints.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The New Saints have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Flora Tallinn have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- The New Saints have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- The New Saints is priced at 1.74.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts The New Saints at 52%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Flora Tallinn at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward The New Saints. The New Saints is priced at 1.74. The draw is priced at 3.78. Flora Tallinn is priced at 4.28.
The New Saints have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
The New Saints have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Flora Tallinn have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Flora Tallinn are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, The New Saints or Flora Tallinn?
Our model rates The New Saints as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 The New Saints wins, 0 draws, 0 Flora Tallinn wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.