Sion vs BATE Borisov: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sionvs
BATE BorisovThe model puts Sion at 77%. The model leans toward Sion. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours BATE Borisov.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Sion have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- BATE Borisov have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sion is priced at 1.167.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 18 | 7 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 14 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 8 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 4 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sion at 77%. The model puts the draw at 13%. The model puts BATE Borisov at 9%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Sion. Sion is priced at 1.167. The draw is priced at 6.7. BATE Borisov is priced at 14.8.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Sion have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. BATE Borisov have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 29% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sion or BATE Borisov?
Our model rates Sion as the most likely outcome at 77% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sion vs BATE Borisov?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Sion wins, 1 draws, 0 BATE Borisov wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.