Benfica vs Academico de Viseu: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Benficavs
Academico de ViseuThe model puts Benfica at 88%. The model leans toward Benfica. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Benfica have 2 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Benfica is priced at 1.075.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | |||||
| 1 | 10 | 2 | ||||
| 2 | 16 | 4 | ||||
| 3 | 18 | 4 | ||||
| 4 | 14 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 9 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Benfica at 88%. The model puts the draw at 8%. The model puts Academico de Viseu at 3%. The model's most likely scoreline is 3-0.
The market leans toward Benfica. Benfica is priced at 1.075. The draw is priced at 11.5. Academico de Viseu is priced at 28.
Benfica have 2 wins in their last 3 matches. Benfica are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 20% for both teams to score. The model gives 67% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Benfica or Academico de Viseu?
Our model rates Benfica as the most likely outcome at 88% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Benfica vs Academico de Viseu?
A scoreline around 3-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Match statistics
Benfica
- 0Trubin
- 0Dal
- 0Lenglet
- 0Dedic
- 0Bah
- 0Barrenetxea
- 0Barreiro Martins
- 0Kaminski J.
- 0Sudakov
- 0Silva
- 0Pavlidis
Academico de Viseu
- 0Sampaio
- 0Costa
- 0Correia
- 0Pereira
- 0Barcelos P.
- 0Messeguem
- 0Silva
- 0Zamora
- 0Kahraman
- 0Castanheira Ceitil
- 0Clovis A.
League table
Campeonato de Portugal| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Famalicao | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 2 |  Estoril | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 3 |  Estrela da Amadora | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Sporting Clube de Portugal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Marítimo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Nacional da Madeira | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 | Academico de Viseu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.