Panathinaikos vs Paksi: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Panathinaikosvs
PaksiThe model puts Panathinaikos at 79%. The model leans toward Panathinaikos. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Panathinaikos.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Panathinaikos have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Paksi have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Panathinaikos is priced at 1.198.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 5 | ||||
| 2 | 19 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 15 | 5 | ||||
| 4 | 9 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 4 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Panathinaikos at 79%. The model puts the draw at 15%. The model puts Paksi at 7%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Panathinaikos. Panathinaikos is priced at 1.198. The draw is priced at 6.05. Paksi is priced at 13.5.
Paksi have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Panathinaikos have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Paksi have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 26% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Panathinaikos or Paksi?
Our model rates Panathinaikos as the most likely outcome at 79% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Panathinaikos vs Paksi?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Panathinaikos wins, 0 draws, 1 Paksi wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.