Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Piast Gliwicevs
Wisla KrakowThe model puts Piast Gliwice at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Piast Gliwice have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Wisla Krakow have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Piast Gliwice have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Piast Gliwice is priced at 2.44.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Piast Gliwice at 38%. The model puts the draw at 30%. The model puts Wisla Krakow at 32%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Piast Gliwice is priced at 2.44. The draw is priced at 3.16. Wisla Krakow is priced at 2.88.
Piast Gliwice have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Wisla Krakow have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Piast Gliwice have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Wisla Krakow have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Piast Gliwice or Wisla Krakow?
Our model rates Piast Gliwice as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Piast Gliwice wins, 1 draws, 3 Wisla Krakow wins.
League table
Poland. Ekstraklasa| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaglebie Lubin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Gornik Zabrze | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Wisla PLock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Wisla Krakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 |  RKS Radomiak Radom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Jagiellonia Bialystok | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 |  Legia Warsaw | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 8 |  Motor Lublin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 9 |  Widzew Lodz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 10 |  Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 11 |  KS Cracovia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 12 |  Katowice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 13 |  Slask Wroclaw | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 14 |  Rakow Czestochowa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 15 |  Wieczysta Krakow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 16 |  Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 |  Pogon Szczecin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.