Wieczysta Krakow vs Lech Poznan: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Wieczysta Krakowvs
Lech PoznanThe model puts Lech Poznan at 48%. The model leans toward Lech Poznan. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Lech Poznan have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Lech Poznan is priced at 1.92.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Wieczysta Krakow at 27%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Lech Poznan at 48%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Lech Poznan. Wieczysta Krakow is priced at 3.56. The draw is priced at 3.68. Lech Poznan is priced at 1.92.
Lech Poznan have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 40% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Wieczysta Krakow or Lech Poznan?
Our model rates Lech Poznan as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Wieczysta Krakow vs Lech Poznan?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
Poland. Ekstraklasa| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaglebie Lubin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Gornik Zabrze | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Wisla PLock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Wisla Krakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 |  RKS Radomiak Radom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Jagiellonia Bialystok | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 |  Legia Warsaw | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 8 |  Motor Lublin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 9 |  Widzew Lodz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 10 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 11 |  KS Cracovia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 12 |  Katowice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 13 |  Slask Wroclaw | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 14 |  Rakow Czestochowa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 15 | Wieczysta Krakow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 16 |  Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 |  Pogon Szczecin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 18 |  Piast Gliwice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.