Rakow Czestochowa vs Hammarby: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Rakow Czestochowavs
HammarbyThe model puts Rakow Czestochowa at 46%. The model leans toward Rakow Czestochowa. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Rakow Czestochowa.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Rakow Czestochowa have 2 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Hammarby have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rakow Czestochowa is priced at 2.16.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Rakow Czestochowa at 46%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Hammarby at 28%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market leans toward Rakow Czestochowa. Rakow Czestochowa is priced at 2.16. The draw is priced at 3.48. Hammarby is priced at 3.28.
Rakow Czestochowa have 2 wins in their last 3 matches. Hammarby have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 66% for both teams to score. The model gives 69% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Rakow Czestochowa or Hammarby?
Our model rates Rakow Czestochowa as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Rakow Czestochowa vs Hammarby?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.