Valur vs Nordsjaelland: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Valurvs
NordsjaellandThe model puts Nordsjaelland at 58%. The model leans toward Nordsjaelland. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Nordsjaelland.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Valur have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nordsjaelland have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Nordsjaelland is priced at 1.67.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Valur at 20%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Nordsjaelland at 58%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market leans toward Nordsjaelland. Valur is priced at 4.8. The draw is priced at 4.04. Nordsjaelland is priced at 1.67.
Valur have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Nordsjaelland have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
The model gives 60% for both teams to score. The model gives 66% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Valur or Nordsjaelland?
Our model rates Nordsjaelland as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Valur vs Nordsjaelland?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.