Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Katowice: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hapoel Tel Avivvs
KatowiceThe model puts Hapoel Tel Aviv at 49%. The model leans toward Hapoel Tel Aviv. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Hapoel Tel Aviv.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Hapoel Tel Aviv have 2 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Katowice have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv is priced at 2.04.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hapoel Tel Aviv at 49%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Katowice at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market leans toward Hapoel Tel Aviv. Hapoel Tel Aviv is priced at 2.04. The draw is priced at 3.6. Katowice is priced at 3.5.
Hapoel Tel Aviv have 2 wins in their last 3 matches. Katowice have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
The model gives 64% for both teams to score. The model gives 68% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hapoel Tel Aviv or Katowice?
Our model rates Hapoel Tel Aviv as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Katowice?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.